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I can add to this. On January 20-25  in 1957 our sun Had approx. 350 sun spots. Nasa was formed 8 months later. The pictures were stunning. World wide scientists were shocked, and an Ans " Do we have a correct thermotical model of our Sun ? needed to be established. And we have been lied to about current cosmology in  a gross manor.

Robert LaFollette

Missing data not appreciated!  ☀️🤔

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.

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👀☀️🌎... 🤯

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333ms, sdo, 304Å

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CME DETECTED!  EARTH VICINITY, TRAJECTORY TBD!

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I love to type, My new motto.. great call thanks Time zones still have me ..11;00 am here in s fla 1;57 pm in Pennsylvania? So this just accrued? On 27 filaments were allover// upper right side was that a flair or filament release? Filament yes was that a possible adjutant for the cme that just occurred? 3 hr time difference?

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Robert LaFollette
Quote from robert on July 28, 2021, 3:24 pm

I love to type, My new motto.. great call thanks Time zones still have me ..11;00 am here in s fla 1;57 pm in Pennsylvania? So this just accrued? On 27 filaments were allover// upper right side was that a flair or filament release? Filament yes was that a possible adjutant for the cme that just occurred? 3 hr time difference?

Florida is on eastern time like Pennsylvania.

 

The solar data is on universal time, which is 4 hours ahead of Eastern Daylight Time.

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This CME has an Earth directed component as confirmed in LASCO C3 (C2 ALSO). 

 

Expect some geomagnetic unrest or storm conditions in ~72-90 hours.

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I don't particularly agree with this modeling, as I thought there were two CMEs around the same time.  Also, I think the currently incoming ejecta is less dense/ concentrated than this model.  This is NOAA's model, and we do not yet have a system to calculate trajectory and speed.  We are working on this, and in the mean time- NOAA's .gif will be a place to start.

 

 

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