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It’s exceeded M5, so where’s an update. It appears to be a multiple source event from the western limb (mainly from where yesterday’s x-class flare originated, slightly behind the northwest limb). See it unfold in near real time at:

Solar flare of x-class! No additional proton spike as of yet. The x-flare came from exactly where we forecasted it could.

Got clear skies? Aurora could be visible soon!

So, at the moment the first of two coronal mass ejection impacts isn’t working out to be very exciting. Realize that we do expect a core impact, so we could see 3 or 4 different field, density and velocity regimes. Stay tuned, but so far, things look fairly mild. Geomagnetic unrest conditions, KP3.66 can induce … Read moreCME Impact Weak So Far Aurora Still Possible