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New research reveals how water in the deep Earth triggers earthquakes and tsunamis

Quill, on the island of Statia. One of the islands in the Lesser Antilles. Credit: Dr George Cooper

In a new study, published in the journal Nature, an international team of scientists provide the first conclusive evidence directly linking deep Earth's water cycle and its expressions with magmatic productivity and earthquake activity.

Water (H2O) and other volatiles (e.g. CO2 and sulphur) that are cycled through the deep Earth have played a key role in the evolution of our planet, including in the formation of continents, the onset of life, the concentration of mineral resources, and the distribution of volcanoes and earthquakes.

Subduction zones, where  converge and one  sinks beneath another, are the most important parts of the cycle—with large volumes of  going in and coming out, mainly through volcanic eruptions. Yet, just how (and how much) water is transported via , and its effect on  and the formation of natural resources, has historically been poorly understood.

Lead author of the study, Dr. George Cooper, Honorary Research Fellow at the University of Bristol's School of Earth Sciences, said:"As plates journey from where they are first made at mid-ocean ridges to , seawater enters the rocks through cracks, faults and by binding to minerals. Upon reaching a subduction zone, the sinking plate heats up and gets squeezed, resulting in the gradual release of some or all of its water. As water is released it lowers the melting point of the surrounding rocks and generates magma. This magma is buoyant and moves upwards, ultimately leading to eruptions in the overlying volcanic arc. These eruptions are potentially explosive because of the volatiles contained in the melt. The same process can trigger earthquakes and may affect key properties such as their magnitude and whether they trigger tsunamis or not."

Exactly where and how volatiles are released and how they modify the host rock remains an area of intense research.

Most studies have focused on subduction along the Pacific Ring of Fire. However, this research focused on the Atlantic plate, and more specifically, the Lesser Antilles , located at the eastern edge of the Caribbean Sea.

 

"This is one of only two zones that currently subduct plates formed by slow spreading. We expect this to be hydrated more pervasively and heterogeneously than the fast spreading Pacific plate, and for expressions of water release to be more pronounced," said Prof. Saskia Goes, Imperial College London.

The Volatile Recycling in the Lesser Antilles (VoiLA) project brings together a large multidisciplinary team of researchers including geophysicists, geochemists and geodynamicists from Durham University, Imperial College London, University of Southampton, University of Bristol, Liverpool University, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, the University of Leeds, The Natural History Museum, The Institute de Physique du Globe in Paris, and the University of the West Indies.

"We collected data over two marine scientific cruises on the RRS James Cook, temporary deployments of seismic stations that recorded earthquakes beneath the islands, geological fieldwork, chemical and mineral analyses of rock samples, and numerical modelling," said Dr. Cooper.

To trace the influence of water along the length of the subduction zone, the scientists studied boron compositions and isotopes of melt inclusions (tiny pockets of trapped magma within volcanic crystals). Boron fingerprints revealed that the water-rich mineral serpentine, contained in the sinking plate, is a dominant supplier of water to the central region of the Lesser Antilles arc.

"By studying these micron-scale measurements it is possible to better understand large-scale processes. Our combined geochemical and geophysical data provide the clearest indication to date that the structure and amount of water of the sinking plate are directly connected to the volcanic evolution of the arc and its associated hazards," said Prof. Colin Macpherson, Durham University

"The wettest parts of the downgoing plate are where there are major cracks (or fracture zones). By making a numerical model of the history of fracture zone subduction below the islands, we found a direct link to the locations of the highest rates of small earthquakes and low shear wave velocities (which indicate fluids) in the subsurface," said Prof. Saskia Goes.

The history of subduction of water-rich fracture zones can also explain why the central islands of the arc are the largest and why, over geologic history, they have produced the most magma.

"Our study provides conclusive evidence that directly links the water-in and water-out parts of the cycle and its expressions in terms of magmatic productivity and . This may encourage studies at other subduction zones to find such water-bearing fault structures on the subducting plate to help understand patterns in volcanic and  hazards," said Dr. Cooper.

"In this research we found that variations in water correlate with the distribution of smaller earthquakes, but we would really like to know how this pattern of water release may affect the potential—and act as a warning system—for larger earthquakes and possible tsunami," said Prof. Colin Macpherson.

source: phys.org

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Mary Wright
Regards, Dan, a. k. a. smAshomAsh

Superionic ice , black ice 18 XVIII oxygen solid hexagonal lattice with flowing liquid hydrogen inside of it. It's both liquid and solid simultaneously if a planet were for example an gas giant and lost much of it's mass the very stable ice 18 could still maintain with leeking and melting over period of time due to pressure loss and thus the 4x less dense water is gradually released from these crystals. Taking up more volume and adding to our Earth and creating mention subduction regions and cycles relating to earthquakes and various other space related details.

https://www.quantamagazine.org/black-hot-superionic-ice-may-be-natures-most-common-form-of-water-20190508/

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smAshMary Wright
○°| Making the world obvious in not so obvious ways connecting patterns and associating Aincent pasts gods as symbolic personification of very complex ideals in physics, atomics, cosmology etc. Taking folklore and learning the subtext the esoterical data preserved in the complex nature like intentional to keep the memory alive over many many many generations. Data is gathered sometimes through a process of creative writing where I'm pretend to believe that unimportant information is vital and relevant and use overactive imagination to understand various outcomes that lead to ultimately accurate conclusions and new ideals no one has considered. Sometimes this process I call being creatively precautious. As you are aware but not simultaneously it's a near manic but not emotional state that's helps me with my esoterical portion of my bestowic behavior. Information metadata seemingly not yet important but truly underlying geometrical and core structure of messages and symbols are relevant. ●•|

This is a must read found tonight released 17 hours ago. 

 

https://eos.org/features/remaking-a-planet-one-atom-at-a-time

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smAsh
○°| Making the world obvious in not so obvious ways connecting patterns and associating Aincent pasts gods as symbolic personification of very complex ideals in physics, atomics, cosmology etc. Taking folklore and learning the subtext the esoterical data preserved in the complex nature like intentional to keep the memory alive over many many many generations. Data is gathered sometimes through a process of creative writing where I'm pretend to believe that unimportant information is vital and relevant and use overactive imagination to understand various outcomes that lead to ultimately accurate conclusions and new ideals no one has considered. Sometimes this process I call being creatively precautious. As you are aware but not simultaneously it's a near manic but not emotional state that's helps me with my esoterical portion of my bestowic behavior. Information metadata seemingly not yet important but truly underlying geometrical and core structure of messages and symbols are relevant. ●•|
Quote from Bestowic on June 25, 2020, 11:25 am

Superionic ice , black ice 18 XVIII oxygen solid hexagonal lattice with flowing liquid hydrogen inside of it. It's both liquid and solid simultaneously if a planet were for example an gas giant and lost much of it's mass the very stable ice 18 could still maintain with leeking and melting over period of time due to pressure loss and thus the 4x less dense water is gradually released from these crystals. Taking up more volume and adding to our Earth and creating mention subduction regions and cycles relating to earthquakes and various other space related details.

https://www.quantamagazine.org/black-hot-superionic-ice-may-be-natures-most-common-form-of-water-20190508/

Funky!

Quote from Bestowic on June 25, 2020, 11:33 am

This is a must read found tonight released 17 hours ago. 

 

https://eos.org/features/remaking-a-planet-one-atom-at-a-time

Funky fresh!  -(Run D.M.C)

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Mary Wright
Regards, Dan, a. k. a. smAshomAsh

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-67860-3#auth-2

 

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This is in reference to the New Jersey earthquake that you mentioned in today's video yes that is weird but I followed a pattern and I've been waiting for more conclusive evidence about the method that I use to protect earthquakes when I see an earthquake an anomalous area I do a search for approximately the same magnitude in the same region and then I take that date of that anomalous recorded earthquake and then I do a plus and minus 2 months sometimes 3 months of the earthquakes of that. And it has worked phenomenally. The photo is a screenshot from 3 days ago where I said that the East coast would be hit likely New York area. I've done this many times in messenger with a mutual friend and viewer I think that this should be exploited using the USGS and anomalous earthquake zones to make future predictions of likelihood of earthquakes in the next coming months.

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Mary Wright
○°| Making the world obvious in not so obvious ways connecting patterns and associating Aincent pasts gods as symbolic personification of very complex ideals in physics, atomics, cosmology etc. Taking folklore and learning the subtext the esoterical data preserved in the complex nature like intentional to keep the memory alive over many many many generations. Data is gathered sometimes through a process of creative writing where I'm pretend to believe that unimportant information is vital and relevant and use overactive imagination to understand various outcomes that lead to ultimately accurate conclusions and new ideals no one has considered. Sometimes this process I call being creatively precautious. As you are aware but not simultaneously it's a near manic but not emotional state that's helps me with my esoterical portion of my bestowic behavior. Information metadata seemingly not yet important but truly underlying geometrical and core structure of messages and symbols are relevant. ●•|

Based on the mid central atlantic 6.9 I located a date range from Jan 2008 to june 2008 here is list of 6+

 

placemagtimelatitudelongitudedepth
eastern Sichuan, China7.92008-05-12T06:28:01.570Z31.002103.32219
Simeulue, Indonesia7.42008-02-20T08:08:30.520Z2.76895.96426
Loyalty Islands, New Caledonia7.32008-04-09T12:46:12.720Z-20.071168.89233
Kepulauan Mentawai region, Indonesia7.22008-02-25T08:36:33.030Z-2.48699.97225
Xinjiang-Xizang border region7.22008-03-20T22:32:57.930Z35.4981.46710
Macquarie Island region7.12008-04-12T00:30:12.600Z-55.664158.45316
northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge6.92008-02-08T09:38:14.100Z10.671-41.8999
Philippine Islands region6.92008-03-03T14:11:14.620Z13.351125.6324
southern Greece6.92008-02-14T10:09:22.720Z36.50121.6729
near the east coast of Honshu, Japan6.92008-05-07T16:45:18.700Z36.164141.52627
eastern Honshu, Japan6.92008-06-13T23:43:45.360Z39.03140.8817.8
South Sandwich Islands region6.82008-02-23T15:57:20.490Z-57.335-23.43314
Guam region6.82008-05-09T21:51:29.730Z12.516143.18176
Kepulauan Mentawai region, Indonesia6.72008-02-25T21:02:18.420Z-2.24599.80825
South Sandwich Islands region6.62008-02-10T12:22:02.650Z-60.797-25.5868
Kepulauan Mentawai region, Indonesia6.62008-02-25T18:06:03.900Z-2.33299.89125
Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska6.62008-04-16T05:54:19.690Z51.878-179.16513
Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska6.62008-05-02T01:33:37.240Z51.864-177.52814
Haida Gwaii Region, Canada6.62008-01-05T11:01:06.110Z51.254-130.74615
Fiji region6.52008-01-15T17:52:15.690Z-21.984-179.535597.6
Oaxaca, Mexico6.52008-02-12T12:50:18.490Z16.357-94.30483
southern Greece6.52008-02-14T12:08:55.790Z36.34521.86328
Kepulauan Mentawai region, Indonesia6.52008-02-24T14:46:21.470Z-2.40599.93122
Kuril Islands6.52008-03-03T09:31:02.500Z46.406153.17510
central Mid-Atlantic Ridge6.52008-04-24T12:14:49.920Z-1.182-23.47110
central Mid-Atlantic Ridge6.52008-05-23T19:35:34.780Z7.313-34.8978
west of Macquarie Island6.52008-06-01T14:31:03.010Z-59.384149.6610
Haida Gwaii Region, Canada6.42008-01-05T11:44:48.170Z51.163-130.54210
western Xizang6.42008-01-09T08:26:45.490Z32.28885.16610
Vanuatu6.42008-03-12T11:23:34.060Z-16.567167.33513
Loyalty Islands, New Caledonia6.42008-04-09T11:13:17.690Z-20.175168.86116
Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska6.42008-04-15T22:59:51.500Z51.856-179.36111
Vanuatu6.42008-04-28T18:33:34.200Z-19.941168.95332
Mid-Indian Ridge6.42008-05-31T04:37:56.010Z-41.19880.4799
southern Greece6.42008-06-08T12:25:29.710Z37.96321.52516
eastern New Guinea region, Papua New Guinea6.32008-01-01T18:54:59.010Z-5.878146.88434
off the coast of Oregon6.32008-01-10T01:37:19.000Z43.785-127.26413
Tarapaca, Chile6.32008-02-04T17:01:29.980Z-20.166-70.03735
Vanuatu6.32008-03-12T11:36:55.280Z-16.489167.18310
Simeulue, Indonesia6.32008-03-29T17:30:50.150Z2.85595.29620
Loyalty Islands, New Caledonia6.32008-04-09T11:23:40.350Z-20.185168.90535
Vanuatu6.32008-04-09T14:47:50.510Z-19.997168.87435
Tonga6.32008-04-16T00:35:48.870Z-18.609-175.69910
Fiji region6.32008-04-18T20:39:07.140Z-17.342-179.022553.8
Loyalty Islands, New Caledonia6.32008-04-19T05:58:42.250Z-20.273168.79614
Rat Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska6.32008-05-20T13:53:35.640Z51.162178.75927
Iceland6.32008-05-29T15:46:00.320Z64.005-21.0139
Batan Islands region, Philippines6.32008-06-01T01:57:23.690Z20.124121.3531
Nias region, Indonesia6.22008-01-22T17:14:57.950Z1.01197.44220
Kepulauan Barat Daya, Indonesia6.22008-01-30T07:32:42.800Z-7.302127.6888
Timor Sea6.22008-02-13T19:58:46.130Z-8.158128.64419
southern Greece6.22008-02-20T18:27:06.000Z36.28821.7759.9
Bonin Islands, Japan region6.22008-02-27T06:54:20.610Z26.816142.43815
Kepulauan Mentawai region, Indonesia6.22008-03-03T02:37:27.120Z-2.1899.82325
Kermadec Islands, New Zealand6.22008-03-18T08:22:47.070Z-29.252-177.4425
Andreanof Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska6.22008-03-22T21:24:11.270Z52.176-178.716132
near the east coast of Honshu, Japan6.22008-05-07T16:02:02.600Z36.178141.54519
southern Greece6.22008-01-06T05:14:20.180Z37.21622.69375
Tarapaca, Chile6.22008-03-24T20:39:07.630Z-20.043-68.963120
Solomon Islands6.22008-06-03T16:20:50.380Z-10.509161.27384
Haida Gwaii Region, Canada6.12008-01-09T14:40:00.960Z51.649-131.18310
Molucca Sea6.12008-01-20T20:26:04.880Z2.346126.81635
Tonga6.12008-01-22T10:49:21.800Z-15.419-175.58910
Antofagasta, Chile6.12008-02-16T14:45:11.690Z-21.346-68.385130.1
Loyalty Islands, New Caledonia6.12008-04-11T17:45:01.940Z-20.392168.83911
offshore Guatemala6.12008-04-15T03:03:04.660Z13.564-90.59933
Kepulauan Barat Daya, Indonesia6.12008-04-19T03:12:25.180Z-7.815125.69413
Auckland Islands, New Zealand region6.12008-04-26T23:34:49.390Z-49.091164.11710
South Sandwich Islands region6.12008-04-28T15:57:55.280Z-58.739-24.71435
Loyalty Islands, New Caledonia6.12008-04-28T20:26:53.110Z-20.238168.82435
Sichuan-Gansu border region, China6.12008-05-25T08:21:49.990Z32.56105.42318
Mindanao, Philippines6.12008-03-20T14:10:40.400Z6.192126.93445
Svalbard region6.12008-02-21T02:46:18.190Z77.07918.57112
eastern Sichuan, China6.12008-05-12T11:11:02.480Z31.214103.61810
near the east coast of Honshu, Japan6.12008-05-07T16:16:36.190Z36.156141.75623.3
Tonga62008-01-22T07:55:48.880Z-15.277-175.3486
Fiji region62008-02-01T12:10:06.400Z-21.495-179.352604.2
Molucca Sea62008-02-09T18:34:01.600Z-0.236125.08438
Prince Edward Islands region62008-03-13T13:28:44.850Z-45.49235.00810
Bonin Islands, Japan region62008-03-14T22:32:09.380Z26.988142.59910
off the west coast of northern Sumatra62008-03-15T14:43:26.500Z2.70894.59625
South Sandwich Islands region62008-04-14T09:45:19.700Z-56.022-28.035140.2
Kepulauan Barat Daya, Indonesia62008-04-19T10:21:12.500Z-7.875125.72210
Taiwan region62008-04-23T18:28:41.880Z22.881121.61910
northern Sumatra, Indonesia62008-05-19T14:26:45.020Z1.6499.14710
south of Alaska62008-05-25T19:18:24.384Z55.9055-153.508320
Flores region, Indonesia62008-06-03T22:04:27.870Z-8.1120.23114
West Chile Rise62008-06-05T02:16:46.930Z-38.844-91.62310
Kepulauan Barat Daya, Indonesia62008-06-06T13:42:48.950Z-7.495127.885122
southern East Pacific Rise62008-06-15T08:37:17.200Z-36.623-107.4510
Babuyan Islands region, Philippines62008-03-03T13:49:40.420Z19.913121.33410
southern Sumatra, Indonesia62008-01-04T07:29:18.300Z-2.782101.03235
      
      
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Mary Wright
○°| Making the world obvious in not so obvious ways connecting patterns and associating Aincent pasts gods as symbolic personification of very complex ideals in physics, atomics, cosmology etc. Taking folklore and learning the subtext the esoterical data preserved in the complex nature like intentional to keep the memory alive over many many many generations. Data is gathered sometimes through a process of creative writing where I'm pretend to believe that unimportant information is vital and relevant and use overactive imagination to understand various outcomes that lead to ultimately accurate conclusions and new ideals no one has considered. Sometimes this process I call being creatively precautious. As you are aware but not simultaneously it's a near manic but not emotional state that's helps me with my esoterical portion of my bestowic behavior. Information metadata seemingly not yet important but truly underlying geometrical and core structure of messages and symbols are relevant. ●•|

Textbooks and Geoscientists May Be Wrong About How the Alps Were Formed

Central Alps of Switzerland

Central Alps of Switzerland have been lifted to today’s height. Credit: ETH Zurich

ETH researchers have used a computer model to test a new hypothesis about the formation of the Alps while simulating seismic activity in Switzerland. This will help improve current earthquake risk models.

For a long time, geoscientists have assumed that the Alps were formed when the Adriatic plate from the south collided with the Eurasian plate in the north. According to the textbooks, the Adriatic plate behaved like a bulldozer, thrusting rock material up in front of it into piles that formed the mountains. Supposedly, their weight subsequently pushed the underlying continental plate downwards, resulting in the formation of a sedimentary basin in the north adjacent to the mountains – the Swiss Molasse Plateau. Over time, while the mountains grew higher the basin floor sank deeper and deeper with the rest of the plate.

A few years ago, however, new geophysical and geological data led ETH geophysicist Edi Kissling and Fritz Schlunegger, a sediment specialist from the University of Bern, to express doubts about this theory. In light of the new information, the researchers postulated an alternative mechanism for the formation of the Alps.

Altitude of the Alps has barely changed

Kissling and Schlunegger pointed out that the topography and altitude of the Alps have barely changed over the past 30 million years, and yet the trench at the site of the Swiss Plateau has continued to sink and the basin extended further north. This leads the researchers to believe that the formation of the Central Alps and the sinking of the trench are not connected as previously assumed. They argue that if the Alps and the trench indeed had formed from the impact of two plates pressing together, there would be clear indications that the Alps were steadily growing. That’s because, based on the earlier understanding of how the Alps formed, the collision of the plates, the formation of the trench and the height of the mountain range are all linked. Furthermore, seismicity observed during the past 40 years within the Swiss Alps and their northern foreland clearly documents extension across the mountain ranges rather than the compression expected for the bulldozing Adria model.

The behavior of the Eurasian plate provides a possible new explanation. Since about 60 Ma ago, the former oceanic part of the Eurasian plate sinks beneath the continental Adriatic microplate in the south. By about 30 Ma ago, this process of subduction is so far advanced that all oceanic lithosphere has been consumed and the continental part of the Eurasian plate enters the subduction zone. This denotes the begin of the so-​called continent-​continent collision with the Adriatic microplate and the European upper, lighter crust separates from the heavier, underlying lithospheric mantle. Because it weighs less, the Earth’s crust surges upwards, literally creating the Alps for the first time around 30 Ma ago. While this is happening, the lithospheric mantle sinks further into the Earth’s mantle, thus pulling the adjacent part of the plate downwards.

This theory is plausible because the Alps are mainly made up of gneiss and granite and their sedimentary cover rocks like limestone. These crustal rocks are significantly lighter than the Earth’s mantle – into which the lower layer of the plate, the lithospheric mantle, plunges after the detachment of the two layers that form the continental plate. “In turn, this creates strong upward forces that lift the Alps out of the ground,” Kissling explains. “It was these upward forces that caused the Alps to form, not the bulldozer effect as a result of two continental plates colliding,” he says.

New model confirms lift hypothesis

To investigate the lift hypothesis, Luca Dal Zilio, former doctoral student in ETH geophysics professor Taras Gerya’s group, has now teamed up with Kissling and other ETH researchers to develop a new model. Dal Zilio used ETH’s Euler mainframe to simulate the subduction zone under the Alps: the plate tectonic processes, which took place over millions of years, and the associated earthquakes.

“The big challenge with this model was bridging the time scales. It takes into account lightning-​fast shifts that manifest themselves in the form of earthquakes, as well as deformations of the crust and lithospheric mantle over thousands of years,” says Dal Zilio, lead author of the study recently published in the journal Geophysical Review Letters.

Five important stages in the orogeny:

Orogeny Stage 1

Thirty-​seven million years ago, subduction of the heavier oceanic part of the Eurasian Plate (from the left) under the lighter continental Adriatic Plate (right) in the south is in full swing. A shallow “mountain range” (yellow, striped area) forms above the zone where the plates converge, initially as isolated islands that barely protrude above sea level. Light green area: Earth’s mantle; green band: lithosphere; dark green, narrow band: oceanic crust; pink/ruby red bands: lower crust; grey bands: upper crust.

Orogeny Stage 2

Over millions of years, the oceanic plate becomes increasingly curved, practically curling in on itself. The Eurasian plate as a whole remains stationary. This causes the subducting plate to start exerting a suction effect on the much smaller Adriatic plate, pulling it northwards (to the left in the diagram).

Orogeny Stage 3

Continent-​Continent Collision. When this process of subduction is so far advanced that the lighter, continental part of the Eurasian plate enters the subduction zone and begins to collide with the Adriatic microplate, the subduction process slows down. The buoyant continental part of the Eurasian plate resists being subducted while the previously subducted oceanic part continues to pull downward leading to steepening of the slab and eventually to necking of the plate and the beginning of separation of the upper, lighter crust from the heavier, underlying lithospheric mantle.

Orogeny Stage 4

Post-​collisional evolution I. A decisive moment takes place 30 million years ago when the oceanic part of the subducted plate breaks away. This reduces its tremendous weight. It relaxes like a leaf spring and retracts. This enhances the lifting effect on the mountains, causing them to rise almost to their present height. At the same time, however, the continuing separation of the Eurasian continental crust from its mantle lithosphere allows the latter to further sink into the mantle.

Orogeny Stage 5

Post-​collisional evolution II. Subduction of the mantle lithosphere of the Eurasian plate continues, albeit at a slower rate and controlled by the rate of detachment of the buoyant crust. By suction forces, the Adriatic plate is pulled further northwards. On the surface, the effects of uplift and erosion balance each other out, meaning that the Alps have remained at about the same height for the last 30 million years.

The entire process as video Credit: Dal Zilio et al, Geophys.Res.Letters, 2020

According to Kissling, the model is an excellent way to simulate the uplifting processes that he and his colleague are postulating. “Our model is dynamic, which gives it a huge advantage,” he says, explaining that previous models took a rather rigid or mechanical approach that did not take into account changes in plate behavior. “All of our previous observations agree with this model,” he says.

The model is based on physical laws. For instance, the Eurasian plate would appear to subduct southwards. In contrast to the normal model of subduction, however, it doesn’t actually move in this direction because the position of the continent remains stable. This forces the subducting lithosphere to retreat northwards, causing the Eurasian plate to exert a suction effect on the relatively small Adriatic plate. Kissling likens the action to a sinking ship. The resulting suction effect is very strong, he explains. Strong enough to draw in the smaller Adriatic microplate so that it collides with the crust of the Eurasian plate. “So, the mechanism that sets the plates in motion is not in fact a pushing effect but a pulling one,” he says, concluding that the driving force behind it is simply the pull of gravity on the subducting plate.

Rethinking seismicity

In addition, the model simulates the occurrence of earthquakes, or seismicity, in the Central Alps, the Swiss Plateau and below the Po Valley. “Our model is the first earthquake simulator for the Swiss Central Alps,” says Dal Zilio.

According to the model, seismic activity below the Alps varies significantly from that below the Swiss Plateau, the Jura Mountains and the Po Valley. It shows that earthquakes occur more frequently and at shallower depths below the Alps; below the Swiss Plateau and the Jura, by contrast, they occur less frequently and at greater depths. Furthermore, the new model explains the extension-​dominated seismicity within the mountain range whereas the seismicity in the upper crust beneath the forelands exhibits compression.According to Kissling, the model is an excellent way to simulate the uplifting processes that he and his colleague are postulating. “Our model is dynamic, which gives it a huge advantage,” he says, explaining that previous models took a rather rigid or mechanical approach that did not take into account changes in plate behaviour. “All of our previous observations agree with this model,” he says.

Clusters of Seismicity

Clusters of seismicity display a broad pattern of different style of faulting, which are consistent with the local tectonic regime. Credit: Dal Zilio et al, Geophys. Res. Letters, 2020

The advantage of this earthquake simulator is that it covers a very long period of time, meaning that it can also simulate very strong earthquakes that occur extremely rarely.

“Current seismic models are based on statistics,” Dal Zilio says, “whereas our model uses geophysical laws and therefore also takes into account earthquakes that occur only once every few hundreds of years.” Current earthquake statistics tend to underestimate such earthquakes. The new simulations therefore improve the assessment of earthquake risk in Switzerland.

Reference: “Slab Rollback Orogeny Model: A Test of Concept” by Luca Dal Zilio, Edi Kissling, Taras Gerya and Ylona van Dinther, 25 August 2020, Geophysical Research Letters.
DOI: 10.1029/2020GL089917

The model was created as part of the AlpArray initiative, which aims to advance understanding of how the Alps formed and of seismic risk in the region. As part of the project, scientists from 11 countries and 36 institutions installed 600 sensors all over the Alps. Together, the participants operate the largest academic seismographic network in the world. AlpArray is supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation.

source: scitechdaily.com

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Mary Wright
Regards, Dan, a. k. a. smAshomAsh

New list from south shetland island similar to 12 12 1982, grabbing large quakes two months prior and after here's the list

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○°| Making the world obvious in not so obvious ways connecting patterns and associating Aincent pasts gods as symbolic personification of very complex ideals in physics, atomics, cosmology etc. Taking folklore and learning the subtext the esoterical data preserved in the complex nature like intentional to keep the memory alive over many many many generations. Data is gathered sometimes through a process of creative writing where I'm pretend to believe that unimportant information is vital and relevant and use overactive imagination to understand various outcomes that lead to ultimately accurate conclusions and new ideals no one has considered. Sometimes this process I call being creatively precautious. As you are aware but not simultaneously it's a near manic but not emotional state that's helps me with my esoterical portion of my bestowic behavior. Information metadata seemingly not yet important but truly underlying geometrical and core structure of messages and symbols are relevant. ●•|

List 2

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○°| Making the world obvious in not so obvious ways connecting patterns and associating Aincent pasts gods as symbolic personification of very complex ideals in physics, atomics, cosmology etc. Taking folklore and learning the subtext the esoterical data preserved in the complex nature like intentional to keep the memory alive over many many many generations. Data is gathered sometimes through a process of creative writing where I'm pretend to believe that unimportant information is vital and relevant and use overactive imagination to understand various outcomes that lead to ultimately accurate conclusions and new ideals no one has considered. Sometimes this process I call being creatively precautious. As you are aware but not simultaneously it's a near manic but not emotional state that's helps me with my esoterical portion of my bestowic behavior. Information metadata seemingly not yet important but truly underlying geometrical and core structure of messages and symbols are relevant. ●•|
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